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Gutshot straight draw vs top pair: the odds
What are the odds of a gutshot straight draw against top pair?
| Hand | Cards | Wins | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gutshot | 5♥ 3♦ | 20.3% | 20.3% |
| Top pair | A♠ 7♣ | 79.7% | 79.7% |
| Split pot | — | 0.00% | — |
On a 7♠ 6♦ 2♣ flop, with two cards to come. Equity is each hand's average share of the pot — outright wins plus half of the split pots. Computed by enumerating all 990 possible boards with this site's own engine, so these are exact figures rather than a simulation.
Why the number looks like that
Four outs, about 17% by the river. The number worth memorising, because it is almost exactly the price a pot-sized bet asks — meaning a bare gutshot is a call only when there is more money to win later.
Try it yourself
Open this hand in the calculator
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